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Central bank chiefs speak and for once, nothing happens

In short The RBA Governor spoke last night about unconventional monetary policy tools The head of the US Federal Reserve also spoke overnight Neither speech moved either the US dollar or the Australian dollar Time Open Low High Today 0.6787 In the last week 0.6768 0.6821 In the last month 0.6768 0.6926 So what did they say? Basically, the RBA Governor outlined that IF unemployment increases and inflation remains low, they will cut rates before considering anything like Quantitative Easing (QE) They won’t consider it until interest rates go to 0.25% They will not cut interest rates below 0% The […]

Is the Aussie Dollar vulnerable to another fall?

In short The Australian dollar has fallen for most of 2019 and is still close to a 10 year low More interest rate cuts could send the AUD/USD even lower Tonight the RBA Governor speaks Time Open Low High Today 0.6776 In the last week 0.6768 0.6830 In the last month 0.6776 0.6926 The Australian dollar has broadly moved lower throughout 2019. Starting the year above 70 cents, it had a brief rally up to 0.7250 before a gradual decline all year. Each time the AUD to USD rate moved higher, it seemed to fall days or weeks later. Since […]

Australian Dollar Opens Below 68 cents and under pressure

In short The Australian dollar was flat on Friday and Saturday, opening Monday below 68 cents The AUD has been under pressure this month This week, we hear from the RBA on Tuesday morning and Tuesday evening. Time Open Low High Today 0.6791 In the last week 0.6782 0.6830 In the last month 0.6776 0.6926 The Australian dollar had a lacklustre end to the week, limping into the weekend below 68 cents. It was a quiet day for most currency markets with little movement against the other major currencies. This week, we hear from the RBA on Tuesday morning and […]

GBP/AUD hits 1.9000 for the first time in years

In short The GBPAUD hits 1.9000 for the first time since the Brexit in June 2016 The British Pound has gradually been getting strong against the Australian dollar for 3 years The AUD/NZD also broke new ground, sinking below 1.0600 Time Open Low High Today 1.9020 In the last week 1.8350 1.9064 In the last 5 years 1.5909 2.2089 The Australian dollar lost a little ground overnight. The AUD/USD fell below 68 cents while the AUD/NZD fell under 1.0600 for the first time in almost 3 months. The small fall was enough to push the GBP/AUD up above 1.9000 for […]

Aussie dollar bounces back above 68 cents

In short The Australian dollar fell below 68 cents yesterday before bouncing last night Minutes from the RBA indicated they nearly cut interest rates in November Despite the bounce overnight, it remains lower against most major currencies compared to last week Time Open Low High Today 0.6827 In the last week 0.6772 0.6853 In the last month 0.6772 0.6926 The Australian dollar had a wild ride yesterday, dropping about half a cent below 68 cents before bouncing last night. Once a month the Reserve Bank of Australia releases the minutes from its meeting. Yesterday, the market got a look at […]

Australian Dollar tanks 2 cents in 2 weeks against the NZ dollar

In short AUD/NZD hits 1.0631 yesterday The Australian dollar has now fallen more than 2 cents in less than 2 weeks Despite the fall, the AUD/NZD remains above it’s average over the last year Time Open Low High Today 1.0643 Yesterday 1.0646 1.0613 1.0656 In the last week 1.0763 1.0607 1.0820 In the last month 1.0738 1.0607 1.0858 Just after the RBA kept rates on hold earlier this month, the AUD/NZD hit its highest point in over a year, reaching 1.0858. Since then, it’s been one way traffic south. The AUD to NZD exchange rate has fallen more than 2 […]

Australian dollar falls below 68 cents as unemployment rises

In short Unemployment in Australia rose in October There is a slightly higher chance of an interest rate cut As a result, the Australian dollar fell against most major currencies Time Open Low High Today 0.6895 In the last week 0.6911 0.6899 In the last month 0.6727 0.6926 For the first 3 day of this week, the Australian dollar barely moved. It sat around 68 and a half cents against the US dollar. Then, at 11:30 today, it fell more than 0.5% to under 69 cents for the first time in almost a month. Why? Well, once a month the […]

Why the outlook for the Australian Dollar is so uncertain

In short The Aussie dollar ends the week lower against the US dollar but flat or higher against other major currencies Strong trade balance figures fail to lift the AUD Forecasts for the Australian dollar vary but most point towards a lower exchange rate Currency Open Low High Now AUD to USD 0.6907 0.6863 0.6929 0.6879 AUD to EUR 0.6185 0.6168 0.6257 0.6224 AUD to GBP 0.5346 0.5344 0.5398 0.5368 AUD to NZD 1.0815 1.0863 1.0804 1.0804 AUD to JPY 74.60 74.58 75.65 75.13 The Australian dollar may have lost ground to the US dollar this week but it is […]

Aussie dollar drifts lower ahead of Trade Balance figures

In short The Australian dollar falls below 69 cents against the US dollar Mixed results against other major currencies Australian and Chinese trade balance data including imports and exports due out later in the week Time Open Low High Today 0.6881 In the last week 0.6871 0.6929 In the last month 0.6714 0.6929 Overnight the AUD/USD drifted below 69 cents for the second time this week. It wasn’t all bad news for the local currency though. It remained broadly unchanged against the Euro, British Pound and New Zealand Dollar. With the RBA meeting done for another month, the markets attention […]

RBA holds its horses as the Australian dollar advances

In short The Australian dollar is up against the Euro, Yen and NZ dollar The RBA leaves interest rates on hold Australian trade balance data including imports and exports due out later in the week Time Open Low High Today 0.6890 In the last week 0.6850 0.6929 In the last month 0.6714 0.6929 The Australian dollar moved higher against the Euro, Yen and NZ dollar overnight, adding around 1%. Meanwhile, the AUD/USD rate traded either site of 69 cents despite some gains yesterday. Yesterday, the Reserve Bank of Australia met just before the Melbourne Cup. With little chance of an […]

AUD finds support as the RBA keeps rates on hold

In short The Australian dollar fell overnight but recovered after the RBA left rates on hold The central banks view on the Australian economy also remained largely unchanged Australian trade balance data including imports and exports due out later in the week Time Open Low High Today 0.6908 In the last week 0.6844 0.6929 In the last month 0.6714 0.6929 The Australian dollar gained against most major currencies after the RBA left interest rates on hold at 0.75% After nearly 3 years of no change, the central bank has cut rates 3 times this year in June, July and October. […]

Aussie Dollar dips on weak retail sales figures but recovers above 69 cents

In short The Australian dollar fell after soft retail sales figures but remained above 69 cents It recovered against the British pound (GBP), Japanese Yen (JPY) and Euro (EUR) but stayed down against the NZ dollar (NZD) RBA unlikely to cut rates on Melbourne Cup on Tuesday Time Open Low High Today 0.6915 In the last week 0.6813 0.6929 In the last month 0.6714 0.6929 The Australian dollar was under fire early in the week as soft retail sales data sent it south. Figures showed almost no growth in retail sales of 0.2% which was lower than the 0.4% from […]

Australian Dollar to Yen hits 75 for the first time in months

In short The Australian dollar hits a 3 month high against the Japanese Yen The AUD/JPY has not been above 75 since late July Japanese central bank leaves rates on hold but signals rates could fall further Time Open Low High Today 74.43 In the last week 73.98 75.28 In the last month 71.75 75.28 Yesterday, the Australian dollar continued to get stronger against most currencies including the Japanese Yen. It traded above 75 for the first time since late July before falling. The big news out of Japan was the central bank of Japan keeping interest rates on hold. […]

AUD to USD exchange rate reaches a 3 month high

In short The Australian dollar hits a 3 month high against the US dollar The US dollar was particularly weak but the Aussie dollar moved higher against most major currencies except the NZ dollar The AUD/USD is up more than 3% since the start of October Time Open Low High Today 0.6899 In the last week 0.6899 0.6812 In the last month 0.6899 0.6676 The Australian Dollar continued to charge higher overnight, hitting 69 cents for the first time since July. The AUD/USD has now gained close to 2 and half cents since bottoming out at 0.6676 earlier in the […]

Australian dollar stronger overnight against the US dollar, Euro and Kiwi dollar but fails to fire against the Pound and Yen

In short The Australian is mixed against the major currencies lacking real direction The head of the RBA speaks today Interest rates are likely to be cut in the US on Wednesday Currency Open Low High Now AUD to USD 0.6822 0.6814 0.6868 0.6865 AUD to EUR 0.6156 0.6133 0.6183 0.6178 AUD to GBP 0.5318 0.5291 0.5345 0.5334 AUD to NZD 1.0743 1.0666 1.0804 1.0794 AUD to JPY 74.12 73.98 74.80 74.69 The Australian dollar had a mixed night, moving higher against the US dollar, Euro and NZ dollar but ended up flat against the British Pound and Japanese Yen. […]

AUD climbs overnight as all eyes turn to the US Federal Reserve

In short The Australian dollar rebounded higher overnight against the US dollar It also moved up against the NZD, JPY and EUR but remained flat against the GBP Interest rates are likely to be cut in the US on Wednesday Time Open High Low Today 0.6837 In the last week 0.6880 0.6812 In the last month 0.6880 0.6676 Overnight, the Australian dollar posted modest gains against most major currencies. Markets were largely positive, sending stock markets, commodity prices and currencies like the Australian dollar higher. The Australian Dollar to US dollar exchange rate will be watched closely on Wednesday as […]

A Big Week for Exchange Rates

In short The Australian dollar posted strong gains but started to fade last week Interest rates in the US could be coming down on Wednesday Important Australian inflation (CPI) data this week Time Open High Low Today 0.6816 In the last week 0.6812 0.6880 In the 3 months 0.6676 0.6966 In October, the AUDUSD has been savaged to a 10-year low under 67 cents before making a reasonable comeback. Last week, it managed to hit 0.6880 before losing more than 1% since late last week to settle above 0.6700. The short-term direction of the Australian dollar could be defined by […]

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Australian Dollar falls flat to end the week lower

In short The Australian dollar falls but remains above 68 cents USD and JPY strengthen Important Australian inflation (CPI) data next week Time Open High Low Today 0.6828 Yesterday 0.6812 0.6846 In the last week 0.6812 0.6880 In the 3 months 0.6676 0.6978 The AUD to USD rate fell overnight as tensions between the US and China rose once again. This has left the Australian dollar weaker after posting some strong gains earlier in the week. It also fell against the Japanese Yen and the Euro as so called ‘riskier’ currencies like the Aussie dollar got sold down. Moving into […]

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